Population Structure

Devon has an older population profile than nationally, particularly in those aged 50 to 70 years of age, reflecting significant in-migration in this age group, and those aged 85 years and over, reflecting an ageing population and longer life expectancy (figure 3.1). The proportions of those aged under 40 years are below the national average, particularly in those aged 25 to 39 significant out-migration from Devon. As illustrated in table 3.1, this overall pattern is even more marked in East Devon, whilst the population in Exeter is similar to the national average, but with an increased young adult population due to the university. This population structure impacts on the use of health and social care service as older age groups are the highest users of these services.  The pattern varies by town (figure 3.2) with the oldest profiles in Seaton and Sidmouth and the youngest in Exeter and nearby towns (particularly the new town of Cranbrook, as well as larger market towns.  Figure 3.3 shows the percentage of the population aged 85 and over and the year in which the national profile will correspond with the local picture.  This reveals that Devon is 14 years ahead of England in terms of demographic structure, with the oldest ward (Sidmouth Town) almost a century ahead.

Figure 3.1, Population Structure, Devon vs England, 2015

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Source: ONS Mid-Year Population Estimate, 2015

Table 3.1, Population by Broad Age Group, Devon Districts, 2015

District 00 to 15 16 to 64 65 to 84 85 and over Total
East Devon 21,653 (15.7%) 75,268 (54.5%) 34,623 (25.1%) 6,597 (4.8%) 138,141
Exeter 19,556 (15.4%) 87,797 (69.0%) 16,621 (13.1%) 3,334 (2.6%) 127,308
Mid Devon 14,615 (18.4%) 46,865 (58.9%) 15,546 (19.6%) 2,484 (3.1%) 79,510
North Devon 16,055 (17.0%) 54,972 (58.4%) 19,938 (21.2%) 3,207 (3.4%) 94,172
South Hams 13,442 (15.9%) 48,397 (57.3%) 19,680 (23.3%) 2,951 (3.5%) 84,470
Teignbridge 20,929 (16.2%) 74,959 (58.2%) 28,009 (21.7%) 4,929 (3.8%) 128,826
Torridge 10,859 (16.4%) 38,131 (57.5%) 15,178 (22.9%) 2,097 (3.2%) 66,265
West Devon 8,683 (16.0%) 31,328 (57.6%) 12,440 (22.9%) 1,934 (3.6%) 54,385
Devon 125,792 (16.3%) 457,717 (59.2%) 162,035 (21.0%) 27,533 (3.6%) 773,077
England (19.0%) (63.3%) (15.4%) (2.4%)

Source: ONS Mid-Year Population Estimate, 2015

Figures 3.2, Population in Selected Age Bands by town, 2014

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Source: ONS Mid-Year Population Estimate, 2014

Figure 3.3, Population aged 85 and over, 2016

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Source: ONS Sub-National Population Projections, 2014 to 2039 and Devon Public Health Intelligence Team (Cranbrook population estimate)